💻 Technology · Next Month

Apple officially announces Apple Watch Ultra 4 at the September 2026 event (9 September 2026), confirmed by Apple press release or product page

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. August 2026 · Predicted for 9. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

88%

Consistent insider reports from MacRumors, 9to5Mac, Stuff.tv, and Deccan Herald (all August 2026) confirm an Apple Watch Ultra 4 for the September event: thinner, new chip, improved sensing functions per DigiTimes. 9to5Mac (19 August 2026) reports more than 10 new products at once, including two Apple Watch variants. The confirmed announcements of iPhone Ultra (foldable) and AirPods Pro 3 (both separate open Cassandra predictions) make Ultra 4 the third secured product pillar of the event. No specific Polymarket market found; implied probability from leak density: ~88%.

Data basis for this prediction

9to5Mac (19. August 2026): 'Apple has eight new products to unveil at September event' – inkl. zwei Apple Watch-Varianten
MacRumors (August 2026): 'Apple Watch Ultra 4 and Series 12 set for September launch' (macrumors.com)
Stuff.tv (August 2026): 'Apple Watch Ultra 4 – thinner with upgrade to sensing functions' (stuff.tv/features)
Deccan Herald (2026): 'Apple Event 2026: iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone Fold & Watch Series 12 set for September launch'

Verdict: Hit

Apple Watch Ultra 4 wurde offiziell am 9. September 2026 beim 'Surprise and Shine'-Event in Apple Park angekündigt – zusammen mit Apple Watch Series 12 und AirPods 5. Laut MacRumors-Recap (macrumors.com/2026/09/09/apple-september-2026-event-recap/) startet die Ultra 4 bei 799 USD, bringt den S11-Chip, ein überarbeitetes Health Sensing System mit häufigerer HRV-Messung und eine Keramik-Option; Pre-Order am selben Tag, Versand 18. September. Die Vorhersage ist vollständig eingetreten.

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