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💻 Technology · Next Month

Apple officially announces Apple Watch Series 12 (S12 chip) and Apple Watch Ultra 4 at the September 2026 Event (September 9, 2026) (confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. August 2026 · Predicted for 9. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
88%

Multiple leading Apple sources (9to5Mac, Macworld, itechify, Deccan Herald) consistently confirm the upcoming announcement of Apple Watch Series 12 (new S12 chip, improved health sensors, potential glucose tracking, Touch ID) and Ultra 4 at the September 9, 2026 event. Apple has announced a new Watch series every September without interruption since 2015 – the most consistent product pattern in Apple's portfolio. Supply chain leaks are dense and confirmed by multiple independent sources. No Polymarket market available. Forecast: 88%, based on historical cycle and broad leak consensus.

Data basis for this prediction
  • 9to5Mac: New Apple Watch models launch next month – S12-Chip, Ultra 4 (14.08.2026)
  • Macworld: Apple Watch Series 12 – Release date, price & latest rumors (August 2026)
  • itechify.com: Apple Watch Series 12 and Ultra 4 – What to Expect This Fall (20.08.2026)
  • Deccan Herald: Apple Event 2026 – Watch Series 12 set for September launch (Aug 2026)
Verdict: Partial Hit
Apple Watch Series 12 und Apple Watch Ultra 4 wurden tatsächlich am 9. September 2026 beim Apple-Event 'Surprise and Shine' in Apple Park offiziell vorgestellt (Bestätigung: MacRumors vom 09.09.2026, 9to5Mac). Die Watches gingen am 18. September 2026 in den Verkauf. Der Kern der Vorhersage ist damit eingetreten. Jedoch enthielt die Vorhersage einen Fehler beim Chip-Namen: Die Apple Watch Series 12 nutzt nicht den 'S12-Chip', sondern den neuen S11-Chip (Quelle: MacRumors, 'Apple Announces Apple Watch Series 12 With S11 Chip'). Der Chip-Name war ein explizit genanntes Detail der Vorhersage und war falsch. Alle anderen Hauptaspekte – Ankündigung von Series 12 und Ultra 4, September-Event, offiziell durch Apple – sind korrekt eingetreten.
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💻 Technology ✦ AI

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) beats Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus of $4.06 per share — earnings report November 12, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Applied Materials Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 13, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.

72%
Next Week · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026