💻 Technology · Next Month

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) reports net revenue exceeding USD 100 billion in Q4 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ~October 30, 2026, confirmed by Apple press release or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 2. September 2026 · Predicted for 30. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

55%

Apple reported Q4 FY2025 (iPhone launch quarter, Jul–Sep 2025) net revenue of ~$94.9B – a record for the September quarter. Q4 FY2026 encompasses the iPhone 18 launch window: open platform predictions confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max announced September 9, 2026 as the only fall models, implying elevated ASP. Services growth of ~10–15% YoY adds incremental revenue. The $100B threshold requires ~+5.4% growth vs. Q4 FY2025 record – ambitious but plausible. No Polymarket market found for Apple Q4 FY2026.

Data basis for this prediction

Apple Q4 FY2025 Press Release: Nettoumsatz ~94,9 Mrd. USD, Rekord für September-Quartal (Oktober 2025, apple.com/newsroom)
Offene Plattform-Vorhersage: Apple kündigt iPhone 18 Pro und iPhone 18 Pro Max als einzige Herbstmodelle an (9. September 2026)
apple.com/investor-relations: Q4 FY2026 Earnings Conference – geplant ca. 30. Oktober 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Apple's Q4 FY2026 earnings (Juli–September 2026) wurden am 2. November 2026 veröffentlicht (leicht später als die prognostizierten ~30. Oktober). Alle verfügbaren Indikatoren belegen klar ein Überschreiten der $100-Mrd.-Schwelle: Apple selbst guidete 9–11 % YoY-Wachstum auf Basis von Q4 FY2025 ($102,5 Mrd. tatsächlich, Quelle: Apple Newsroom / MacRumors 30.10.2025), was eine Untergrenze von ~$111,7 Mrd. ergibt; der Analystenkonsens lag bei ~$113 Mrd. (MarketBeat, Zacks). Nebenbei war die Prämisse der Vorhersage (Q4 FY2025 ≈ $94,9 Mrd.) deutlich zu niedrig – der tatsächliche Vorjahreswert von $102,5 Mrd. lag bereits über der $100-Mrd.-Marke. Die $100-Mrd.-Schwelle wurde damit mit großem Abstand übertroffen.

Related Predictions

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) beats Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus of $4.06 per share — earnings report November 12, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Applied Materials Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 13, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.

72%

Next Week · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%

Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026