📈 Economy · Next Month

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats the adjusted Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $1.88 per share on July 30, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

73%

Apple has announced Q3-FY2026 results for July 30, 2026 after market close. Analyst consensus: $1.88 adjusted EPS (diluted), +19.8% YoY (from $1.57). Apple has beaten Wall Street EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters. Strong Services growth, growing Apple Intelligence adoption post-iOS/macOS 27 (WWDC June 2026), and solid iPhone volumes support expectations. Headwinds from US tariffs on China manufacturing and elevated inflation (CPI 4.2% YoY). Own calibration: ~73%.

Data basis for this prediction

9to5mac.com: 'Apple sets Q3 2026 earnings release for July 30' (02.07.2026)
MarketBeat/Nasdaq: AAPL EPS-Konsens Q3 FY2026: 1,88–1,89 USD (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
appleinsider.com: 'What to expect from Apple's Q3 2026 results on July 30' (02.07.2026)
Yahoo Finance: Apple hat in den letzten 4 Quartalen jeweils EPS-Schätzungen übertroffen (abgerufen 12.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Apple meldete am 30. Juli 2026 ein tatsächliches verwässertes EPS von 2,02 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von 1,88 USD (Überraschung von +7,4 %). Selbst bereinigt um den Sondereffekt von 0,11 USD aus Zollrückerstattungen (Tariff Refunds) lag das EPS bei rund 1,91 USD und damit noch über dem Konsens. Der Umsatz stieg 16 % auf 109,4 Mrd. USD; iPhone-Umsatz +22 %. Quellen: 9to5Mac (https://9to5mac.com/2026/07/30/apple-reports-q3-2026-earnings-109-4-billion-in-revenue-up-16/), MacRumors (https://www.macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/), Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-apple-beats-q3-2026-estimates-shares-fall-after-hours-93CH-4826459).

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