📈 Economy
· Next Week
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.88 per share at its Q3-FY2026 earnings release (30 July 2026, after market close)
Probability
82%
Apple has beaten EPS consensus in at least six consecutive quarters. The Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus stands at approx. USD 1.88 (+~20% YoY). Growth drivers: strong iPhone 18 demand, rapidly growing high-margin Services segment, and Apple Intelligence ecosystem (notably paid AI features). Apple is not yet listed in the open predictions (no Q3-FY2026 EPS target exists). No direct Polymarket quote; historical beat rate >80% supports this forecast.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple Q3 FY2026 Earnings Date: 30. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (financecalendar.com, Juli 2026)
- Apple EPS-Konsens Q3 FY2026: ca. 1,88–1,89 USD (FactSet / financecalendar.com, Juli 2026)
- Apple Beat-Frequenz letzte 6+ Quartale: >80 % (Earnings Whispers / Yahoo Finance, Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple meldete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q3 FY2026 einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,91 USD (bereinigt) bzw. 2,02 USD (GAAP), womit der Konsensschätzung von ca. 1,88–1,89 USD klar übertroffen wurde (+~1,6 % Non-GAAP-Beat, +~7 % GAAP-Beat). Treiber waren ein iPhone-Umsatz von +22 % YoY (54,3 Mrd. USD), ein Services-Wachstum von +12 % (30,7 Mrd. USD) sowie ein einmaliger Zollrückerstattungseffekt von +0,11 USD je Aktie. Gesamterlös: 109,4 Mrd. USD (+16 % YoY), ebenfalls über Konsens. Quellen: [Apple Newsroom](https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/07/apple-reports-third-quarter-results/), [MacRumors](https://www.macrumors.com/2026/07/30/apple-3q-2026-earnings/), [Yahoo Finance – EPS Beat](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/apple-aapl-q3-earnings-revenues-220002623.html)