Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) reports Q4 FY2026 (July–September 2026, c. October 29, 2026) Services segment revenue above USD 28.5 billion
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. September 2026
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Predicted for 29. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports its Q4 FY2026 results (fiscal year-end) on October 29, 2026. Q3 FY2026 (April–June) Services already reached USD 30.74B (+12% YoY, confirmed by SEC filing). Q4 FY2025 Services was ~USD 24.97B; at +14% YoY growth for Q4 FY2026 = ~USD 28.5B. Drivers: App Store, iCloud+, Apple TV+, Apple Intelligence subscriptions. No direct prediction market. Services growth rate was consistently 12–14% YoY throughout FY2026.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple/SEC: Q3 FY2026 Earnings – Services 30,74 Mrd. USD, +12% YoY (Juni 2026)
- InvestingCalendar.com: AAPL Earnings Date Q4 FY2026 – 29. Oktober 2026
- TipRanks.com: AAPL Q4 FY2026 EPS Forecast $1.98 (Stand Sept. 2026)
- Apple Newsroom: Services all-time record Q1 FY2026, +14% YoY (Jan. 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Zum Zeitpunkt der Recherche (1. November 2026) lagen die Q4-FY2026-Ergebnisse noch nicht offiziell vor – Apple verschob die Veröffentlichung vom 29. Oktober auf den 2. November 2026 (Quelle: 9to5Mac, AppleInsider, MarketBeat). Die Schwelle von 28,5 Mrd. USD wird jedoch mit an Sicherheit grenzender Wahrscheinlichkeit übertroffen: Q4 FY2025 (Jul–Sep 2025) betrug bereits 28,75 Mrd. USD (Leverage Shares Post-Earnings-Analyse), Q3 FY2026 (Apr–Jun 2026) lag bei 30,7 Mrd. USD (+12 % YoY, MacRumors/SEC 8-K). Der Analysten-Konsens für Q4 FY2026 liegt bei ca. 31,5 Mrd. USD (Yahoo Finance/Zacks, 28. Oktober 2026). Eine Unterschreitung der 28,5-Mrd.-Schwelle würde einen Rückgang von über 7 % gegenüber Q3 FY2026 erfordern – selbst unter Berücksichtigung des kommunizierten FX-Gegenwinds von 2,5 % (Apple CFO-Aussage Q3-Call) nicht realistisch. Hinweis: Die Prämisse der Vorhersage enthielt einen Datenfehler (Q4 FY2025-Basis als 24,97 Mrd. angegeben – das war tatsächlich Q4 FY2024); die Zielmarke selbst ist dennoch konservativ und sicher erreichbar.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.