📈 Economy · Next Week

American Express (NYSE: AXP) Q2 2026 earnings (July 24, 2026): beats adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $4.39 per share

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. July 2026 · Predicted for 24. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

71%

American Express reports Q2 2026 pre-market on July 24. Consensus is $4.39 EPS (+7.6% YoY from $4.08). AXP has beaten consensus in three of the last four quarters. Structural drivers: premium AXP cardholders show significantly lower spending elasticity in surveys – despite US CPI at 3.8%, travel, hospitality, and luxury spending remains robust. US Retail Sales for June 2026 came in at +0.9% MoM, well above the +0.5% consensus. The clothing sector led retail strength, signaling affluent consumer behavior that supports AXP's card fee revenues.

Data basis for this prediction

AXP Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens $4,39; Berichtstermin 24. Juli 2026 (MarketBeat/TipRanks, Stand 15. Juli 2026)
AXP Beat in 3 of 4 letzten Quartalen (MarketBeat, 2026)
US Retail Sales Juni 2026: +0,9 % MoM vs. Konsens +0,5 % – Kleidungssektor führend (Census Bureau/Just-Style, 15. Juli 2026)
US CPI Juni 2026: 3,8 % YoY – Premium-Konsument bleibt widerstandsfähig (BLS, 14. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] American Express meldete am 24.7.2026 einen bereinigten EPS von 4,53 USD – 2,9 % über dem Konsens von ca. 4,39–4,40 USD. Quelle: Meyka / MarketBeat / AlphaStreet.

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

53%

Next Week · Predicted for 16. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) closes above $100,000 per unit on December 31, 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or CoinGecko by December 31, 2026)

Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.

42%

Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026