Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats the adjusted Q2-2026 EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.82 per share on July 30, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Amazon reports on July 30, 2026, after market close; adjusted EPS consensus is ~USD 1.82 per share, revenue consensus ~USD 196 bn (MarketBeat, July 13, 2026). Amazon beat the EPS consensus in seven of the last eight quarters. AWS remains the margin driver with strong growth from AI infrastructure requests; the Advertising segment grows >20% YoY. Prime Day Q3 is not included, but spring effects and cost discipline support margins. No Polymarket equivalent for Amazon EPS beat.
Data basis for this prediction
- Amazon Q2-2026 EPS-Konsens: 1,82 USD je Aktie (MarketBeat, Stand 13.07.2026)
- Amazon Q2-2026 Berichtstermin: 30. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (financecalendar.com)
- Amazon Q2-2026 Umsatzkonsens: ca. 196 Mrd. USD (MarketBeat / Yahoo Finance)
- ValueSense.io: 'Amazon Q2 Earnings – Revenue, AWS Beat' – Q2-Vorschau (valuesense.io, 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Amazon berichtete am 30. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten EPS von ca. 1,97 USD je Aktie – deutlich über dem Konsens von ~1,82 USD. Der Umsatz lag bei 200,6 Mrd. USD (vs. ~196 Mrd. USD erwartet). Der GAAP-EPS von 5,75 USD war durch einen Anthropic-Investment-Gewinn von ~53,4 Mrd. USD verzerrt, die operative Stärke war jedoch real: AWS wuchs 37 % YoY (schnellstes Wachstum seit 2021), und das Advertising-Segment entwickelte sich stark. Die Vorhersage trat klar ein. Quellen: MarketBeat-Earnings-Report (AMZN Q2 2026), Shacknews, CNBC Q2 2026 Earnings Report, TradingKey.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.