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📈 Economy · Next Month

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats the Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus in its Q3-FY2026 earnings report (c. 30 October 2026, after market close, confirmed by Amazon press release or Bloomberg)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 29. August 2026 · Predicted for 30. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
74%

Amazon has beaten the Non-GAAP EPS consensus in 7 of the last 8 quarters (as of August 2026). AWS grows at approximately 35% YoY, structurally lifting operating margins. AI infrastructure spend by Microsoft, Meta and Alphabet flows substantially into AWS revenue. Advertising revenue grows >20% YoY. No dedicated Polymarket market for AMZN Q3 identified; comparable mega-cap tech peers (Alphabet, Meta, MSFT) are assigned 72–82% beat probability on Cassandra.news; AMZN calibrated analogously at 74%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Amazon Q3 FY2026 Earnings: voraussichtliche Veröffentlichung ca. 30. Oktober 2026 (Amazon Investor Relations, August 2026)
  • MarketBeat: Amazon EPS Beat-Rate — 7 von 8 letzten Quartalen (marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/amzn/earnings, August 2026)
  • Amazon Q2 FY2026 Earnings Release Juli 2026: AWS Revenue Growth ~35 % YoY, operative Margenerweiterung (Amazon IR)
  • Cassandra.news Benchmark: Alphabet/Meta/MSFT Q3-FY2026 EPS-Beat je mit 72–82 % kalibriert (Stand 29. August 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Amazon Q3 2026 EPS: $1,89, unter dem Analystenkonsens von $1,97. Kein Beat. Quelle: MarketBeat, Shacknews
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Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) beats Q3-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.64 per share — earnings report November 19, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Walmart Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.

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