📈 Economy · Next Month

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats the Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus of approx. USD 1.96–2.00 per share in its Q3-FY2026 earnings (approx. 28 October 2026, after market close; confirmed by Amazon press release or Bloomberg)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 1. September 2026 · Predicted for 28. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

76%

Amazon's Q2 2026 significantly beat estimates: AWS grew 37% YoY. The Q3 2026 analyst consensus stands at ~USD 1.96–2.00 per share (Bybit/Nasdaq, September 2026), earnings date approx. 28 October 2026. AWS is the primary beneficiary of AI infrastructure demand (Anthropic partnership, Trainium-3 chips); the advertising segment grows 15–20% YoY; operational leverage dynamics boost margins. Amazon has beaten the EPS consensus in 7 of the last 8 quarters. No specific Polymarket data; historical beat rate and strong fundamentals imply ~75–78%.

Data basis for this prediction

Webull / Nasdaq: Amazon Q2 2026 Earnings – Revenue Beat, AWS +37 % YoY (veröffentlicht Aug. 2026)
Bybit Wiki / TipRanks: Amazon Q3 2026 EPS-Konsens ~1,96–2,00 USD; Berichtstermin ca. 28. Oktober 2026
Benzinga/TipRanks: Amazon EPS Beat-Rate letzte 8 Quartale: 7 von 8 (Stand Aug. 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Amazon meldete am 29. Oktober 2026 (einen Tag später als vorhergesagt) für Q3 2026 ein EPS von 1,89 USD – das lag deutlich unter dem Analystenkonsens von ~1,96–1,97 USD. Die Vorhersage eines EPS-Beats ist damit klar nicht eingetreten. AWS übertraf zwar mit 39 % Wachstum die Erwartungen, und das operative Einkommen (28,1 Mrd. USD) übertraf die Schätzungen (~26,1 Mrd. USD). Der EPS-Miss wurde jedoch durch höhere Kapitalausgaben (~77 Mrd. USD) und schwächere Margen im Retailbereich verursacht. Die Aktie fiel daraufhin über 6 % im nachbörslichen Handel. Quellen: MarketBeat (https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-10-29-amazoncom-inc-stock/), 247WallSt (https://247wallst.com/cards/amazon-q3-2026-earnings-amzn-01m64mgs2373wqp8ya2hpcgve3), Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-amazon-q3-2026-misses-eps-as-shares-fall-after-hours-93CH-4985489)

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