Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$1.82 per share (report: July 30, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Amazon reports Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026 after US market close. Consensus: $1.82 EPS, total revenue ~$196B. Prime Day 2026 fell fully in Q2—a structural revenue driver for products, advertising, and subscriptions. AWS expected to grow >20% YoY (separately tracked open prediction). Amazon's ad business at record levels. Amazon has routinely beaten its own guidance corridor since 2022; ~83% beat rate over last 6 quarters. Note: the AWS growth prediction (>20% YoY) is already tracked separately; this forecast covers only the total EPS. No investment recommendation.
Data basis for this prediction
- MarketBeat / TipRanks (Stand Juli 2026): AMZN Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 1,82 USD
- aboutamazon.com (Juli 2026): Amazon reports Q2 2026 financial results July 30, 2026
- tradingkey.com (Juli 2026): AWS hit fastest growth in 15 quarters — AMZN Q2 preview
- financecalendar.com (Juli 2026): AMZN Umsatzkonsens Q2 2026 ca. 196 Mrd. USD
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Amazon meldete am 30. Juli 2026 tatsächlich Ergebnisse, die den EPS-Konsens von ~1,82 USD klar übertrafen. GAAP-EPS lag bei 5,75 USD – massiv überhöht durch einen nicht-operativen Bewertungsgewinn von 53,4 Mrd. USD aus Anthropic-Investitionen. Bereinigt um diesen Einmaleffekt ergibt sich ein operativer EPS von ca. 1,97 USD, der den Konsens von 1,82 USD noch immer um ~8 % übertrifft. Zusätzlich lag der Umsatz mit 200,6 Mrd. USD über der Erwartung von ~196 Mrd. USD (+20 % YoY), AWS wuchs 37 % YoY (weit über dem Konsensziel von >20 %), und das Werbegeschäft legte 26 % zu. Die Aktie stieg nachbörslich um ~9 %. Quellen: Alphastreet (amazon-amzn-q2-2026-earnings-beat-estimates), CNBC Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Money365.Market EPS-Analyse, Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.