📈 Economy · Next Month

Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats the adjusted Q2 2026 EPS consensus of ~$2.87 per share on July 22, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

72%

Alphabet confirmed Q2 2026 results on July 22, 2026 after market close (WallStreetHorizon / Yahoo Finance). EPS consensus: $2.86–2.88 (+23% YoY, sources: TipRanks, earezki.com as of July 10, 2026). Alphabet beat EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Structural tailwinds: AI search ads, YouTube Shorts monetization, Google Cloud. No explicit Polymarket quote found; historical beat rate ~85% as anchor.

Data basis for this prediction

GOOGL Q2-Ergebnis bestätigt: 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (Yahoo Finance / WallStreetHorizon)
EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: 2,86–2,88 USD, +23 % YoY (TipRanks / earezki.com 10.07.2026)
GOOGL Schlusskurs 10.07.2026: 357,18 USD (CNBC / Yahoo Finance)
Alphabet Q1 2026 Beat (SEC Form 8-K April 2026 / CNBC)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Alphabet meldete am 22. Juli 2026 einen GAAP-EPS von 9,11 USD – ein massiver nominaler Beat gegenüber dem Konsens von ~2,87–2,89 USD. Dieser Wert war jedoch durch einen einmaligen, nicht-operativen Gewinn von rund 99 Mrd. USD auf Beteiligungspapiere aufgebläht, hauptsächlich durch die Neubewertung des ~14-%-Anteils an Anthropic (Bewertung stieg von 380 auf 965 Mrd. USD nach einer 65-Mrd.-USD-Finanzierungsrunde). Das bereinigte operative EPS – das die Vorhersage explizit adressierte – lag bei ca. 2,85 USD und verfehlte damit den Konsens von ~2,87 USD knapp. Umsatz (119,8 Mrd. USD, +24 % YoY) und Cloud-Umsatz (+82 % auf 24,8 Mrd. USD) schlugen die Erwartungen deutlich. Da die Vorhersage spezifisch auf den 'bereinigten EPS-Konsens' abzielte und dieser mit ~2,85 USD leicht verfehlt wurde, gilt die Vorhersage als nicht eingetreten. Quellen: Quiver Quantitative, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo Finance, TechTimes, SEC Form 8-K.

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