📈 Economy · Next Month

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $3.04 per share — earnings report 28 October 2026 after market close (confirmed by Alphabet Investor Relations or Bloomberg by 29 October 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. October 2026 · Predicted for 28. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

73%

The EPS consensus for Alphabet's Q3-FY2026 stands at $3.04 per share (+5.9% YoY vs $2.87 in Q3 FY2025). Alphabet has beaten the EPS consensus in 8 consecutive quarters. Google Cloud and advertising show continued structural momentum; AI integration in Google Search (AI Overviews) drives higher cost-per-click. This prediction covers EPS only and is independent of the separately open revenue forecast (>$127.0B). No direct Polymarket EPS market available; own estimate based on 8-quarter historical beat rate: ~73%.

Data basis for this prediction

Alphabet Q3-FY2026 EPS-Konsens 3,04 USD (+5,9 % yoy); 8 aufeinanderfolgende EPS-Beats (MarketBeat.com, 18.10.2026)
Alphabet Q3 Revenue-Konsens 127,45 Mrd. USD (+24,5 % yoy); Earnings-Datum 28.10.2026 nach Börsenschluss (MarketBeat.com, 18.10.2026)
Polymarket AI-Modell-Markt: Google/Gemini bei 71 % für bestes KI-Modell Oktober 2026 — Indiz für Cloud-Momentum (bankless.com, 18.10.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Alphabet berichtete am 28. Oktober 2026 einen tatsächlichen EPS von 2,12 USD je Aktie – deutlich unter dem Konsens von ~3,04 USD (Verfehlung um ca. 0,90 USD bzw. ~30 %). Es war das erste gleichzeitige Top-and-Bottom-Line-Miss seit fast vier Jahren. Ursache war offenbar ein massiver Kostenanstieg (u.a. KI-Infrastruktur/Cloud-Investitionen), der die Profitabilität trotz starkem Umsatz (+25 % auf 127,6 Mrd. USD, leicht über Konsens) erheblich belastete. Quellen: SEC 8-K Q3 FY2026 (sec.gov), CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/10/28/alphabet-googl-earnings-q3-2026.html), Investing.com Earnings-Call-Transcript, MarketBeat Q3 2026 Report.

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