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📈 Economy · Next Week

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats the Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $2.86 per share (22 July 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
80%

Alphabet reports after market close on July 22, 2026. Analyst consensus stands at $2.86 adjusted EPS (+23.8% YoY) with total revenue of ~$116.53B. Alphabet has beaten the EPS consensus in seven consecutive quarters — most recently in Q1 2026 by a wide margin ($5.11 actual vs. $2.64 estimate). Google Cloud grew 63% YoY to $20.0B in Q1 2026 (fastest among hyperscalers). The ongoing AI investment cycle (Gemini 2.5, TPUv6, Workspace AI) and Search monetisation gains support margins. No direct Polymarket market found; 7-quarter beat streak implies a >80% hit rate.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Alphabet Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 2,86 USD, Umsatz-Konsens 116,53 Mrd. USD (IG International Preview, 16. Juli 2026)
  • Alphabet Q1 2026 Beat: EPS 5,11 USD vs. 2,64 USD Konsens; Google Cloud +63 % YoY = 20,0 Mrd. USD (SEC Form 8-K Q1 2026)
  • Earnings-Datum bestätigt: 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (TipRanks / Wall Street Horizon, Confirmed)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
Alphabet meldete am 22. Juli 2026 einen GAAP-EPS von 9,11 USD, der den GAAP-Konsens (~2,88 USD) massiv schlug – allerdings ausschließlich wegen ~80–99 Mrd. USD an nicht realisierten Bewertungsgewinnen auf die Anthropic-Beteiligung (Anthropic-Valuation stieg von 380 auf 965 Mrd. USD). Das bereinigte EPS (ex-Investment-Gains), also das in der Vorhersage gemeinte operative Kernmaß, lag bei tatsächlich 2,62 USD und verfehlte den bereinigten Analysten-Konsens von ~2,63 USD um einen Cent. Die Vorhersage nannte einen bereinigten EPS-Konsens von 2,86 USD und erwartete einen operativen Beat – dieser trat nicht ein. Quellen: Yahoo Finance/Zacks ('Alphabet (GOOGL) Beats Q2 Earnings'), TechTimes ('Cloud Revenue, Not an $80 Billion Paper EPS, Tells the Story'), Seeking Alpha ('Alphabet delivers Q2 beat with cloud revenue surging, capex disappoints'), SEC 8-K filing Q2 2026.
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