Airbnb, Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) beats Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $1.19 per share (August 6, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
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Predicted for 6. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Airbnb reports Q2 2026 on August 6 after market close. EPS consensus: $1.19 (+15.5% YoY); revenue consensus: $3.58B (+15.7% YoY). Elevated oil prices (Brent ~$88-90) tend to shift travellers toward short-trip and domestic stays, where Airbnb excels. Airbnb beat EPS consensus in 5 of the last 6 quarters. No Polymarket market found.
Data basis for this prediction
- Airbnb Q2-2026-Berichtstermin: 6. August nach Börsenschluss (Yahoo Finance/Zacks, 21.07.2026)
- Airbnb Q2-2026-EPS-Konsens: 1,19 USD; Umsatz-Konsens: 3,58 Mrd. USD (Zacks, 21.07.2026)
- Brent Rohöl 88,56 USD/Barrel, 21.07.2026 – Reiseverhalten (Forbes Advisor, 21.07.2026)
- Airbnb EPS-Beat-Rate 5/6 Quartale (TipRanks/Zacks, 2025–2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Airbnb meldete am 6. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,37 USD je Aktie – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 1,19 USD (andere Quellen nannten 1,25–1,26 USD). Das entspricht einem Beat von rd. 15 % (Zacks: +14,17 %). Der Umsatz stieg um 16,5 % YoY auf 3,61 Mrd. USD (Konsens: 3,58 Mrd. USD). Nights & Experiences Booked +10 % YoY, GBV +16 % YoY. Die Aktie stieg nachbörslich ~9 %. Quellen: Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/airbnb-inc-abnb-beats-q2-212002476.html), CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/06/airbnb-abnb-q2-earningsreport.html), Airbnb IR (https://news.airbnb.com/airbnb-q2-2026-financial-results/).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.