Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.34 in Q2 2026 results (August 4, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 4. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Consensus: ~USD 1.34 Non-GAAP EPS (+396% YoY vs. Q2 2025: USD 0.27). AMD beat in 3 of the last 4 quarters, driven by strong AI GPU demand (MI300X/MI350 datacenter accelerators) and share gains vs. NVIDIA in high-performance computing. High-end analyst estimates reach USD 1.62 – well above consensus. The AI chip cycle remains intact in Q2 2026.
Data basis for this prediction
- AMD Q2 2026: Berichtstermin 4. August, EPS-Konsens $1,34 (Pluang/Yahoo Finance, Juli 2026)
- AMD: 3 von 4 letzten Quartalen Beat (TipRanks, Juli 2026)
- AMD KI-GPU-Nachfrage MI350: Capital.com Analyse, Juni 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
AMD meldete am 4. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,66 USD und übertraf damit sowohl den in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~1,34 USD als auch den zum Berichtszeitpunkt aktualisierten Analystenkonsens von ~1,60–1,62 USD. Der tatsächliche EPS-Überraschungseffekt lag bei ca. +3,75 % gegenüber dem revidierten Konsens. Der Umsatz erreichte mit 11,5 Mrd. USD ebenfalls einen Rekord (+50 % YoY), das Datacenter-Segment verdoppelte sich auf 6,7 Mrd. USD (+107 % YoY) – getrieben von starker Nachfrage nach Instinct-GPUs und EPYC-Prozessoren, genau wie in der Prognose begründet. Quellen: ir.amd.com (Pressemitteilung Q2 2026), CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/08/04/amd-earnings-report-q2-2026.html), Yahoo Finance / Motley Fool Earnings Call Transcript.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.